Tuesday, 23 October 2012

Surgical risk-assessment tools


A 55-year-old man is awaiting a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt procedure.
Considering the ChildPugh classification of liver disease, of the following
clinical features, which one does NOT score two points?

a) Ascites controlled with diuretics
b) Encephalopathy grade II
c) Bilirubin 42 micromol/L
d) Albumin 27 g/L
e) INR 2.4


Answer: e

Explanation
The ChildPugh (or ChildTurcottePugh) score is a risk-stratification tool used to
predict mortality associated with surgical procedures on patients with liver disease,
although originally was described for use with patients awaiting portocaval shunt
surgery. Five criteria each score one to three points giving a summed score with a
minimum of five and a maximum of fifteen. A score of five to six is labelled Childs
A, seven to nine is Childs B and ten to fifteen is Childs C with a progressively
worse prognosis and mortality as the score rises. Other factors determining outcome
are the patients comorbidity and the nature of the proposed surgery. An INR of 2.4
would score three points. The patient in the question would, with those features
described, score eleven translating to Childs C liver disease and a peri-operative
mortality of >75% (for intra-abdominal surgery). Childs C one-year mortality, without
intervention, is 50%. In many spheres the ChildPugh score is being replaced by
the MELD score (Model for End-stage Liver Disease). This excludes subjective
assessment of the degree of ascites and encephalopathy, requiring only the patients
bilirubin, INR and creatinine (adjusted for use of renal replacement therapy). These
data are inserted into a formula as their natural logarithms and a score is generated.
Originally introduced for prognostication following transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic
shunt (TIPS), MELD has been applied and validated to most surgeries
contemplated for patients with active liver disease. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic
shunt is associated with poor outcome if the MELD score is >24, thus
historically would be avoided in these circumstances. Regarding the patient in the
question, their serum creatinine would have to be less than 140 micromol/L to
achieve a MELD score of <24.

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